Sunday, December 22, 2013

Can Bill Clinton help return Arkansas to progressive leadership?

U.S.

Is Arkansas Still Friendly to Bill? Clinton Tests It

Video | The Clinton Connection No one in the Clinton family is running for office in 2014, but the influence of the former president can be seen in several coming elections in his home state of Arkansas.
LITTLE ROCK, Ark. — When it came time to celebrate the 50th anniversary of the opening of a dam on the Little Red River this fall, former President Bill Clinton came running. But once he arrived in the state, he had more on his mind than just public works.
He summoned Mike Ross, who had driven him around rural Arkansas during his race for governor in 1982 and is now running for governor himself, to his presidential library for a visit.
“I thought I was going over for a 15-minute meeting with him, and I left two hours later,” said Mr. Ross, recalling a conversation during which Mr. Clinton spoke about everything from Mr. Ross’s fund-raising to his county-level organization and the policy distinctions he could draw with his Republican rival.
Mr. Clinton may be a globe-trotting citizen of the world, but these days he is focusing on his home state, and for good reason: The election ballot for next year looks like a Clinton political family tree, full of the former president’s protégés and ex-staff members and family friends.
Slide Show | The Former President and His Home State Former President Bill Clinton makes frequent trips to Arkansas, a notably different state politically than the one he left about 20 years ago.
Senator Mark Pryor, who was 11 when he first met Mr. Clinton and whose father has been a close ally of the president’s for four decades, is fighting for re-election. James Lee Witt, whom Mr. Clinton met in a Little League dugout in 1974 and eventually named director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, is running for Congress. And Patrick Henry Hays, a protégé and one of a band of locals who stumped on Mr. Clinton’s behalf in 1992, calling themselves Arkansas Travelers, is also seeking a House seat.
(And, in an eerie echo of Clinton eras past, Mr. Ross’s likely opponent in the race for governor is Asa Hutchinson, the former congressman who helped lead the effort to impeach the president in 1998.)
While there is little doubt about how much Mr. Clinton cares about Arkansas, the election outcome could reveal how much Arkansas — a notably different state politically than the one he left 20 years ago — still cares about him, and whether those Democrats who embraced his approach to politics can hold on in a state that is drifting away from their party and is strikingly hostile to President Obama.
A new generation of voters has no memory of Mr. Clinton’s tenure as governor, and the unpopularity of Mr. Obama’s health care law has further imperiled Democratic candidates here.
Former President Bill Clinton, a frequent visitor to Arkansas, at an event on Thursday at his presidential library in Little Rock.
WILLIAM WIDMER FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES
Mr. Clinton has flung himself into the 2014 campaign, offering strategy, policy proposals and sometimes intervention. This year, without telling Mr. Pryor, the former president called Howard Wolfson, the top political aide to Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg of New York, to personally plead with him to stop TV ads the mayor’s gun-control group was airing in Arkansas criticizing the senator for his position on gun restrictions, Mr. Pryor said. He found out about the call, which was unsuccessful, only when Mr. Clinton told him about it.
The former president hosted a kickoff fund-raising reception for Mr. Pryor in March, and plans to help the other candidates raise money, too.
“He’s insatiably curious about what’s going on locally,” Gov. Mike Beebe, a Democrat who cannot run again because of term limits, said of Mr. Clinton, with whom he speaks about twice a month. Of the many Democrats running next year, Mr. Beebe said, “Clinton got them started with the idea of even wanting to be in politics.”
When Mr. Clinton began his political career at 28 in the mid-1970s, Arkansas, like the rest of the South, clung to a strongly Democratic identity, with a fiercely populist streak, especially in state and local elections. These days, Republicans are ascendant in state races and Mr. Obama is profoundly unpopular — an Arkansas poll recently recorded his approval rating at 29 percent. Many here view the president as distant from them, with his liberal policies and Chicago roots, and Arkansas lacks a tradition of supporting black candidates in statewide races. During Mr. Obama’s tenure, a congressional delegation that until recently was made up of five Democrats and one Republican now has five Republicans and Mr. Pryor.
“Obama, Obama, Obama” is how Mr. Pryor, in an interview, described the campaign strategy of his Republican rival, Representative Tom Cotton.
Given Mr. Obama’s low approval here, Democrats are subtly invoking the Clinton name, sometimes slyly suggesting to voters that the current occupant of the White House may soon turn the keys over to Hillary Rodham Clinton, should she run for president.
Mr. Obama will be in office for only three more years, Mr. Pryor noted with a smile during the interview, adding, “Who’s there the next four years?”
Both the former president and his wife are expected to take to the campaign trail here in the months ahead, and if they help Democrats win, it could underscore their enduring influence in Arkansas and suggest that she could be competitive in a state Democrats have lost ever since Mr. Clinton left the White House. However, a string of Democratic losses next year could indicate that Arkansas is joining its Southern neighbors in becoming a Republican-dominated state and could raise questions about the currency of the Clinton legacy.
“The 2014 election in Arkansas is not going to be about who is the president, it’s about who is going to be the president,” said James L. Rutherford, the dean of the University of Arkansas graduate school, which is named for Mr. Clinton, and a longtime friend of the former president’s.
To visit this cozy capital and bring up Mr. Clinton’s name is an invitation for storytelling and unending one-upmanship. Seemingly every Democrat here has an honest-to-god true story of just how tied in Mr. Clinton still is in Arkansas. There was the time he checked in on the election returns for Stone County sheriff, even though he was overseas; or when, early on election night in 2002, he phoned former Senator David Pryor, Mark’s father, and asked him to call the courthouse in Magnolia and check on a bellwether precinct in the county. A former aide in the state keeps track of deaths and funerals, and Mr. Clinton regularly sends personal condolence notes.
A day after Mr. Clinton spoke at the Greers Ferry Dam commemoration in October, he called Mr. Witt, whose wife had died a few weeks earlier after a long illness. After accepting Mr. Clinton’s sympathies, Mr. Witt told the former president that he had all but decided to run for an open House seat next year.
“He got very excited,” said Mr. Witt, who was the head of Arkansas’s emergency services for Mr. Clinton before joining him in Washington. “He was telling stories about when he ran for governor here and what counties he won by down there and what counties he lost and by what percentages.” Mr. Clinton’s conclusion: “He said, ‘You know what, you can win that race.’ ”
He returns to the state every six weeks or so — in May he attended a Fleetwood Mac concert in a basketball arena in North Little Rock. When in town, he stays in what aides call “the executive suite,” an apartment atop the presidential library; local lore has it that Arkansans know whether he is here by watching the lights in the apartment.
But while Mr. Clinton has always stayed in touch, no other Arkansas election may be as personally important to him as 2014’s. Mr. Ross, for example, steered Mr. Clinton around Arkansas in a Chevy Citation for nearly two years, bonding with his boss in between campaign stops as Mr. Clinton recaptured the governorship in 1982.
Mr. Clinton met Mark Pryor in 1974 when the former president was running for Congress and Mr. Pryor’s father for governor. Mr. Pryor, 50, is now considered among the most vulnerable senators in the country.
And it is not just the top of the ticket that Mr. Clinton and his loyalists are following. The Southern Progress Fund, a group formed to revive Southern Democrats and run by two Arkansans who are former aides to Mr. Clinton, is quietly preparing to put money into state legislative races here and will have two paid staff members on the ground early next year.
Those who follow politics closely here are uncertain how much sway the former president still has with voters.
Mr. Pryor argued that the legacy of Mr. Clinton’s policies is what is most powerful.
“People are very proud in our state that President Clinton balanced the budget,” he said. “President Bush didn’t, President Obama hasn’t.”
But even Mr. Pryor acknowledged that he was uncertain what campaign appearances by Mr. Clinton would mean.
“I don’t know if that translates into votes in our state,” he said, noting that Arkansas was “very independent-minded.”
One thing is for sure: Residents will be seeing a lot of Mr. Clinton. On Thursday, the former president was back, appearing at a ceremony marking the LED lighting of a bridge that crosses the Arkansas River near his library and sounding a bit like the young politician he once was, eager to grab the attention of the bigger world around him.
“I dreamed of a time when at night we would have this bridge lit,” Mr. Clinton told the crowd. “And everybody who landed in an airplane in Little Rock at night would fly over the library lit and the bridge lit, and would see us and our potential and our values in a way that they had never seen it before.”
Amy Chozick contributed reporting.

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